Dajani Dimes continues to put together winning weeks. Vegas knows all, but it was great to take advantage of them with that -3 line against the Rodney McLeod Jersey . We did get bit by the against the . is 4-1 straight up vs. , but is just 1-4 against the spread!Merry Thanksgivingmas to you and yours. If you're looking to get some action on the games while the in-laws argue about politics, then check out my thorough guide, .Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 29-25-1Overall ATS record: 88-70-6Straight up record: 106-57-1 Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Moneyline Spread Total DAL NYG Whatever faith I lost in the Cowboys after their lo s to the I have regained following their 40-3 win over the . That's how a legitimate contender responds after a lo s. As for the Giants, they were blown out by the at home on Sunday, and suffered several notable injuries that will affect them on this short week. In addition to all the OL, No. 2 CB Fabian Moreau has also been ruled out. When it rains it pours. Expect all of the questionable players to play Dan Duggan (@DDuggan21) This is a big spread, but I want to lay the points with the Cowboys. The Giants have lost two out of their last three games after starting the season 6-1, and they've weirdly struggled on first downs -- both on offense and defense. ' unit averages 4.4 yards per play on first downs (second-fewest in the ), while the defense allows an average of 6.9 Randall Cunningham Jersey yards per play on first downs (most in the NFL). We saw what the Cowboys did to the Vikings last week. recorded 189 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns, while the defense didn't allow a single touchdown.These are two teams trending in opposite directions. If can beat the Giants by seven points on the road, what will do at home? The pick:Cowboys -10Projected score: Cowboys 31-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears Moneyline Spread Total NYJ CHI My two cents on the benching:Zach Wilson was benched mostly because of the comments he made following the lo s to the .Zach Wilson probably deserves to be benched for his play alone. is going to bring some juice to this offense.The Jets were favored by 4.5 points over the Bears before the news of Wilson's benching. Now, they are favored by six points.I said on Twitter before even knowing who the starting quarterback was going to be that the Jets are a best bet this week. They have a great squad! All they need is a quarterback who can complete basic pa ses, and I think White can do that. As for the Bears, has been on a tear as of late, but he hasn't been able to will Chicago to victory by himself. Now that he's banged up, I don't expect that to change. Give me the Jets to cover at home.The pick:Jets -6Projected score: Jets 24-16Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Spread Total WAS ATL I don't love laying five points since it's a weird number, but why not ride the hot hand? If you follow my lucrative column, you've probably noticed that I've been all over the Commanders -- picking them to upset the Packers and straight up at plus money as best bets. That WAS -3 line last week was too easy as well. Ron Rivera's frown has been turned upside down ever since took over at quarterback. The Commanders head coach used to drop F bombs in pre s conferences and storm out of postgame media Mack Hollins Jersey se sions. Now, he's glowing on Zoom calls and talking about wearing Heinicke T-shirts. Washington is expected to receive another boost in momentum this week with the return of star pa s rusher -- who we all know is going to bring the energy. Heinicke is 10-2-1 ATS in his past 13 starts. Give me the Commanders at home.The pick:Commanders -4.5Projected score:Commanders 28-21Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total MIA HOU I ain't some novice when it comes to double-digit spreads. I mean, how many people took the lowly to cover 13 points against a rested team at home as a best bet like I did? Miami defeated the by 22 points in its last outing. What are the Dolphins going to do to and the Texans at home coming off a bye?The Dolphins have recorded three straight 30-point games -- which is just one shy of matching the longest streak in franchise history. The Texans, on the other hand, average just 15.9 points per game. I'm expecting a blowout as the Texans look to secure the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 . The pick: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Jersey Dolphins -13.5Projected score:Dolphins 35-14Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline Spread Total ARI LAC The Cardinals' Mexico City vacation couldn't have gone any worse. One of their a sistant coaches got fired for allegedly groping a woman, and then the team was destroyed by the , 38-10. The Chargers are coming off a lo s as well, as they gave Mahomes and the Chiefs all they could handle before the MVP frontrunner added yet another game-winning drive to his resume.Did you know that the Chargers are cover machines? Not only are they 7-3 ATS on the year, but they are 9-4 ATS on the road since 2021 (fourth-best in the NFL), which includes covering the spread in each of the last five road games. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 4-10 ATS at home since 2021, which ranks worst in the NFL over that span. I think the Chargers have a pretty great offense with and back, plus that kid isn't bad either. At three points, I'll take the Chargers.The pick:Chargers -3Projected score: Chargers 28-24 (-9.5) 30-20 over LionsPatriots (+2.5) 23-21 over VikingsRavens 28-27 over (+4) (-3.5) 26-21 over Browns (+3) 27-24 over Panthers (+2) 17-14 over Chiefs (-15.5) 30 Nate Gerry Jersey -13 over 24-22 over (+3.5)49ers 28-21 over (+9.5) (-6.5) 29-21 over Packers (+2.5) 25-20 over Colts
Dajani Dimes continues to put together winning weeks. Vegas knows all, but it was great to take advantage of them with that -3 line against the Rodney McLeod Jersey . We did get bit by the against the . is 4-1 straight up vs. , but is just 1-4 against the spread!Merry Thanksgivingmas to you and yours. If you're looking to get some action on the games while the in-laws argue about politics, then check out my thorough guide, .Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 29-25-1Overall ATS record: 88-70-6Straight up record: 106-57-1 Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Moneyline Spread Total DAL NYG Whatever faith I lost in the Cowboys after their lo s to the I have regained following their 40-3 win over the . That's how a legitimate contender responds after a lo s. As for the Giants, they were blown out by the at home on Sunday, and suffered several notable injuries that will affect them on this short week. In addition to all the OL, No. 2 CB Fabian Moreau has also been ruled out. When it rains it pours. Expect all of the questionable players to play Dan Duggan (@DDuggan21) This is a big spread, but I want to lay the points with the Cowboys. The Giants have lost two out of their last three games after starting the season 6-1, and they've weirdly struggled on first downs -- both on offense and defense. ' unit averages 4.4 yards per play on first downs (second-fewest in the ), while the defense allows an average of 6.9 Randall Cunningham Jersey yards per play on first downs (most in the NFL). We saw what the Cowboys did to the Vikings last week. recorded 189 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns, while the defense didn't allow a single touchdown.These are two teams trending in opposite directions. If can beat the Giants by seven points on the road, what will do at home? The pick:Cowboys -10Projected score: Cowboys 31-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears Moneyline Spread Total NYJ CHI My two cents on the benching:Zach Wilson was benched mostly because of the comments he made following the lo s to the .Zach Wilson probably deserves to be benched for his play alone. is going to bring some juice to this offense.The Jets were favored by 4.5 points over the Bears before the news of Wilson's benching. Now, they are favored by six points.I said on Twitter before even knowing who the starting quarterback was going to be that the Jets are a best bet this week. They have a great squad! All they need is a quarterback who can complete basic pa ses, and I think White can do that. As for the Bears, has been on a tear as of late, but he hasn't been able to will Chicago to victory by himself. Now that he's banged up, I don't expect that to change. Give me the Jets to cover at home.The pick:Jets -6Projected score: Jets 24-16Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, ) Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Spread Total WAS ATL I don't love laying five points since it's a weird number, but why not ride the hot hand? If you follow my lucrative column, you've probably noticed that I've been all over the Commanders -- picking them to upset the Packers and straight up at plus money as best bets. That WAS -3 line last week was too easy as well. Ron Rivera's frown has been turned upside down ever since took over at quarterback. The Commanders head coach used to drop F bombs in pre s conferences and storm out of postgame media Mack Hollins Jersey se sions. Now, he's glowing on Zoom calls and talking about wearing Heinicke T-shirts. Washington is expected to receive another boost in momentum this week with the return of star pa s rusher -- who we all know is going to bring the energy. Heinicke is 10-2-1 ATS in his past 13 starts. Give me the Commanders at home.The pick:Commanders -4.5Projected score:Commanders 28-21Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total MIA HOU I ain't some novice when it comes to double-digit spreads. I mean, how many people took the lowly to cover 13 points against a rested team at home as a best bet like I did? Miami defeated the by 22 points in its last outing. What are the Dolphins going to do to and the Texans at home coming off a bye?The Dolphins have recorded three straight 30-point games -- which is just one shy of matching the longest streak in franchise history. The Texans, on the other hand, average just 15.9 points per game. I'm expecting a blowout as the Texans look to secure the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 . The pick: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Jersey Dolphins -13.5Projected score:Dolphins 35-14Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, ) Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline Spread Total ARI LAC The Cardinals' Mexico City vacation couldn't have gone any worse. One of their a sistant coaches got fired for allegedly groping a woman, and then the team was destroyed by the , 38-10. The Chargers are coming off a lo s as well, as they gave Mahomes and the Chiefs all they could handle before the MVP frontrunner added yet another game-winning drive to his resume.Did you know that the Chargers are cover machines? Not only are they 7-3 ATS on the year, but they are 9-4 ATS on the road since 2021 (fourth-best in the NFL), which includes covering the spread in each of the last five road games. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 4-10 ATS at home since 2021, which ranks worst in the NFL over that span. I think the Chargers have a pretty great offense with and back, plus that kid isn't bad either. At three points, I'll take the Chargers.The pick:Chargers -3Projected score: Chargers 28-24 (-9.5) 30-20 over LionsPatriots (+2.5) 23-21 over VikingsRavens 28-27 over (+4) (-3.5) 26-21 over Browns (+3) 27-24 over Panthers (+2) 17-14 over Chiefs (-15.5) 30 Nate Gerry Jersey -13 over 24-22 over (+3.5)49ers 28-21 over (+9.5) (-6.5) 29-21 over Packers (+2.5) 25-20 over Colts
